Taking Chances

Author: John Haigh
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0198526636
Format: PDF, ePub, Mobi
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"What are the odds against winning the Lotto, The Weakest Link, or Who Wants to be a Millionaire? The answer lies in the science of probability, yet many of us are unaware of how this science works. Every day, people make judgements on a wide variety of situations where chance plays a role, including buying insurance, betting on horse-racing, following medical advice - even carrying an umbrella. In Taking Chances, John Haigh guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better-informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favour. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on top television shows, plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers."--BOOK JACKET.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung f r Dummies

Author: Deborah J. Rumsey
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 3527805494
Format: PDF, Kindle
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Die Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung wird in der Schule oft nur beiläufig behandelt, dabei handelt es sich um ein besonders spannendes und alltagstaugliches Teilgebiet der Mathematik. Für alle, die über dieses Thema noch etwas mehr erfahren wollen oder müssen, erklärt Deborah Rumsey verständlich und mit Humor, was sie unbedingt wissen sollten. Egal ob Kontingenztabelle, zentraler Grenzwertsatz, Stichproben-, Binomial- oder Poissonverteilung, in diesem Buch lernen Sie, was es ist und wie Sie es anwenden. Zu jedem Kapitel finden Sie online eine Übungsaufgabe samt Lösung, um das Gelernte zu festigen. Auch Tipps zu praktischen Anwendungen - ob bei der Arbeit oder am Pokertisch - kommen nicht zu kurz. So finden Sie in diesem Buch alles, was Sie über Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung unbedingt wissen sollten.

Winning

Author: Jack Welch
Publisher: Campus Verlag
ISBN: 3593423359
Format: PDF, ePub, Mobi
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Mit diesem Buch erhalten Sie das E-Book inklusive! Jack Welch ist die größte lebende Managementlegende. General Electric wurde unter seiner Führung eines der erfolgreichsten Unternehmen der Welt. In »Winning« gibt er sein fundiertes Wissen weiter – handfeste, erprobte und garantiert wirksame Methoden – die ihn bis heute weltweit einflussreich machen. Welch verrät, was zu tun ist, um als Manager außergewöhnlich erfolgreich zu werden. »Sie werden nie wieder ein anderes Managementbuch benötigen!« Warren Buffett

Probabilities

Author: Peter Olofsson
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118898931
Format: PDF, ePub, Mobi
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Praise for the First Edition “If there is anything you want to know, or remind yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how to apply probability calculations in real-world situations.” - Keith Devlin, Stanford University, National Public Radio’s “Math Guy” and author of The Math Gene and The Unfinished Game From probable improbabilities to regular irregularities, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, Second Edition investigates the often surprising effects of risk and chance in our lives. Featuring a timely update, the Second Edition continues to be the go-to guidebook for an entertaining presentation on the mathematics of chance and uncertainty. The new edition develops the fundamental mathematics of probability in a unique, clear, and informal way so readers with various levels of experience with probability can understand the little numbers found in everyday life. Illustrating the concepts of probability through relevant and engaging real-world applications, the Second Edition features numerous examples on weather forecasts, DNA evidence, games and gambling, and medical testing. The revised edition also includes: The application of probability in finance, such as option pricing The introduction of branching processes and the extinction of family names An extended discussion on opinion polls and Nate Silver’s election predictions Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, Second Edition is an ideal reference for anyone who would like to obtain a better understanding of the mathematics of chance, as well as a useful supplementary textbook for students in any course dealing with probability.

Mathematics of Games and Gambling

Author: Edward W. Packel
Publisher: MAA
ISBN: 9780883856468
Format: PDF
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The new edition of a favourite, featuring fresh material such as betting in sport and bluffing in poker.

Practical Text Mining with Perl

Author: Roger Bilisoly
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118210506
Format: PDF, Docs
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Provides readers with the methods, algorithms, and means toperform text mining tasks This book is devoted to the fundamentals of text mining usingPerl, an open-source programming tool that is freely available viathe Internet (www.perl.org). It covers mining ideas from severalperspectives--statistics, data mining, linguistics, and informationretrieval--and provides readers with the means to successfullycomplete text mining tasks on their own. The book begins with an introduction to regular expressions, atext pattern methodology, and quantitative text summaries, all ofwhich are fundamental tools of analyzing text. Then, it builds uponthis foundation to explore: Probability and texts, including the bag-of-words model Information retrieval techniques such as the TF-IDF similaritymeasure Concordance lines and corpus linguistics Multivariate techniques such as correlation, principalcomponents analysis, and clustering Perl modules, German, and permutation tests Each chapter is devoted to a single key topic, and the authorcarefully and thoughtfully introduces mathematical concepts as theyarise, allowing readers to learn as they go without having to referto additional books. The inclusion of numerous exercises andworked-out examples further complements the book's student-friendlyformat. Practical Text Mining with Perl is ideal as a textbookfor undergraduate and graduate courses in text mining and as areference for a variety of professionals who are interested inextracting information from text documents.

Taking Chances

Author: Jordan Howard Sobel
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521416351
Format: PDF, Mobi
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J. Howard Sobel has long been recognized as an important figure in philosophical discussions of rational decision. He has done much to help formulate the concept of causal decision theory. In this volume of essays Sobel explores the Bayesian idea that rational actions maximize expected values, where an action's expected value is a weighted average of its agent's values for its possible total outcomes. Newcomb's Problem and The Prisoner's Dilemma are discussed, and Allais-type puzzles are viewed from the perspective of causal world Bayesianism. The author establishes principles for distinguishing options in decision problems, and studies ways in which perfectly rational causal maximizers can be capable of resolute choices. Sobel also views critically Gauthier's revisionist ideas about maximizing rationality. This collection will be a desideratum for anyone working in the field of rational choice theory, whether in philosophy, economics, political science, psychology or statistics. Howard Sobel's work in decision theory is certainly among the most important, interesting and challenging that is being done by philosophers.